The pros and cons of a recession from a financial planning perspective (2024)

A recession refers to a widespread drop in spending. It can last months or even years. One way of detecting a recession is if the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) has been negative for at least two consecutive quarters. A recession can be triggered by many different kinds of events, including natural disasters and long periods of inflation.

The word “recession” often causes people to feel anxious about their financial situation. However, recessions are not always completely detrimental to your finances, and there are even pros as well as cons of a recession. Healthy wealth management strategies can help you be prepared in the event of a recession. Knowing the reasons behind the pros and cons can help you secure your finances appropriately in the event of a recession.

3 pros of a recession

It is completely possible to build and protect your wealth during a recession. From a financial planning perspective, a recession can give you the opportunity to make smart wealth management habits, including maximizing your assets. During a recession, your financial plan can benefit from:

  • Lower prices — A recession often hits after a long period of sky-high consumer prices. At the onset of a recession, these prices suddenly drop, balancing out previous long inflationary costs. As a result, people on fixed incomes can benefit from new, lower prices, including real estate sales.
  • Increased entrepreneurial opportunities — While unemployment rises during a recession, some people use this as an opportunity to be their own boss. If you were thinking about establishing your own company, a recession can be a good time to do so, especially since prices of equipment and other assets are lower than usual.
  • A healthier portfolio — During a recession, businesses that are inefficient or unproductive can no longer afford to stay open. As a result, they shut down. Over time, more established and efficient businesses become more successful. This phenomenon can help strengthen your portfolio as less efficient companies are replaced by healthier, stronger ones.

3 cons of a recession

In addition to the pros of a recession, there are also several cons. You can keep the following points in mind when considering the effects a recession might have on your financial plan:

  • Unemployment — During a recession, companies have to cut positions in order to trim expenses. Unemployment is a major con of a recession, and it can make you feel insecure when it comes to your own job.
  • Decreased asset values — During a recession, your assets may be worth less than they were beforehand. For instance, if you are a homeowner, the value of your house may be less than it was when you bought it. As a result, if you were planning on selling your assets, it may be better to wait until the recession subsides.
  • Higher national deficit — People pay less in taxes when they make less money. This means that the government is receiving less income, and it will need to start borrowing money. This contributes to the national debt and will likely mean raised taxes in the future.

Talk to a ProVise CFP® professional about the pros and cons of a recession

Are you worried about a recession restricting your financial growth, with the cons getting in the way of the pros? Our CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professionals can get to know you and your current financial circ*mstances, goals, risk tolerance and personal values to help you develop a plan that works for you. We can also create a written plan for you at a fiduciary standard of care. All our written plans come with an unconditional money-back guarantee. If you are unhappy with your written plan, you can return it to us, and we will refund 100% of the fee paid.

Are you ready to talk to a professional about the pros and cons of a recession? Contact ProVise today to schedule a complimentary consultation.

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The pros and cons of a recession from a financial planning perspective (2024)

FAQs

The pros and cons of a recession from a financial planning perspective? ›

From a financial planning perspective, a recession can give you the opportunity to make smart wealth management habits, including maximizing your assets. During a recession, your financial plan can benefit from: Lower prices — A recession often hits after a long period of sky-high consumer prices.

What are the pros and cons of a recession? ›

Recessions have plenty of negative consequences, but they can provide a necessary reset for the markets. Higher interest rates that often coincide with the early stages of a recession provide an advantage to savers, while lower interest rates moving out of a recession can benefit homebuyers.

What are the positive effects of a recession? ›

Reduced competition: Some competitors may struggle or even go out of business during a recession, allowing surviving businesses to gain market share. Cost efficiencies: Lower demand can lead to reduced costs for materials, labour, and real estate, which can improve profit margins.

What is the financial strategy for a recession? ›

A potential recession is the right time to reassess your debt accounts and take note of your current interest rates and outstanding balances. Consider putting as much of your income toward high-interest debts as possible — especially tax-deductible debt accounts, such as educational loans.

What are the financial implications of a recession? ›

Recessions cause declines in sales that can spiral as the resulting layoffs further depress demand. Credit access tends to tighten amid rising economic uncertainty, while loan delinquencies and defaults increase alongside bankruptcies.

Who benefits most in a recession? ›

Here's who reap the most financial rewards during a recession.
  • Those Who Take Advantage of Low CD Interest Rates.
  • Those Who Save with a Premier Money Market Account.
  • Those Who Borrow Short-Term with a Repo Agreement.
  • Where to Find Recession-Proof Savings.
Feb 16, 2023

What not to buy during a recession? ›

Most stocks and high-yield bonds tend to lose value in a recession, while lower-risk assets—such as gold and U.S. Treasuries—tend to appreciate. Within the stock market, shares of large companies with solid cash flows and dividends tend to outperform in downturns.

Do things get cheaper in a recession? ›

While the prices of individual items may behave unpredictably due to unexpected economic factors, it is true that a recession might cause the prices of some items to fall. Because a recession means people usually have less disposable income, the demand for many items decreases, causing them to get cheaper.

What were 3 effects of the recession? ›

Unemployment was rising, company profits were falling, financial markets were tumbling, and the housing sector collapsed. Is there a single word to describe these developments? Yes: “recession.” The crisis was accompanied by recessions in many countries.

Is a recession good for home buyers? ›

During a traditional recession, the Fed will usually lower interest rates. This creates an incentive for people to spend money and stimulate the economy. It also typically leads to more affordable mortgage rates, which leads to more opportunity for homebuyers.

Where is your money safest during a recession? ›

Where to put money during a recession. Putting money in savings accounts, money market accounts, and CDs keeps your money safe in an FDIC-insured bank account (or NCUA-insured credit union account). Alternatively, invest in the stock market with a broker.

What is the best asset to hold during a recession? ›

Still, here are seven types of investments that could position your portfolio for resilience if recession is on your mind:
  • Defensive sector stocks and funds.
  • Dividend-paying large-cap stocks.
  • Government bonds and top-rated corporate bonds.
  • Treasury bonds.
  • Gold.
  • Real estate.
  • Cash and cash equivalents.
Nov 30, 2023

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Cash: Offers liquidity, allowing you to cover expenses or seize investment opportunities. Property: Can provide rental income and potential long-term appreciation, but selling might be difficult during an economic downturn.

What does a recession mean for the average person? ›

Economic expansions create opportunities: new businesses, more jobs, and higher wages. Recessions reduce opportunities: failed businesses, fewer jobs, and lower wages. Recessions normally don't happen every year, but they're not unusual.

Should I take my money out of the bank before a recession? ›

Your money is safe in a bank, even during an economic decline like a recession. Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category, is protected by the FDIC or NCUA at a federally insured financial institution.

How do you not lose money in a recession? ›

Build up your emergency fund, pay off your high interest debt, do what you can to live within your means, diversify your investments, invest for the long term, be honest with yourself about your risk tolerance, and keep an eye on your credit score.

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