What I Learned from Playing More than a Million Games of Wordle (2024)

What I Learned from Playing More than a Million Games of Wordle (3)

Ok, full disclosure: I didn’t actually play a million games of Wordle, but I wrote a Wordle simulator that did. Why? Because I wanted to learn more about the dynamics of the game and evaluate some of the strategies that people have been discussing online, especially those that discuss the “best words to use at the start of Wordle”. What follows is a description of the approach taken and the what I learned from it.

Note: In this article I will be discussing some words to use as good Wordle guesses. I won’t disguise these words because they have been widely discussed elsewhere, online and in the media. However, I will disguise the novel ‘best’ words found by this analysis so that a reader can read the article without receiving unwelcome or unwanted hints. At the very end of the article I will reveal these new words for those who are interested. It’s not that there is anything revelatory them, but I want to be respectful to those who, while interested in the approach taken here, do not want any hints that might spoil their future Wordle fun.

The simulation of Wordle discussed below approximates a strong Wordle player and for this analysis I simulated more than 1M games for over 400 different (carefully chosen) sets of seed/starter words. The full technical details and findings are discussed below, but a summary of the key results includes the following:

  • On average 95% of target words can be solved within 6 guesses with average game length is approximately 4 rounds.
  • By the time the third guess has been made, a good player will have located about 4 target letters with 2 or 3 in their correct positions.
  • Not all target words are created equally. In simulations, ‘hitch’ and ‘hatch’ failed to be solved 90% of the time, while ‘arose’ and ‘alien’ were always solved and usually within 3 rounds.
  • The seed words you use to begin Wordle do matter. Even for the carefully chosen words tested here, we find that some are materially better than others. Some starter/seed words are able to solve a typical Wordle within 4 rounds >80% of the time, compared with just ~60% of…
What I Learned from Playing More than a Million Games of Wordle (2024)

FAQs

What does the average person get in Wordle? ›

CountryAverage Tries
United States3.974
Canada3.979
United Kingdom3.992
Afghanistan3.998
6 more rows

How many tries do most people take to solve Wordle? ›

Highlights: Wordle Statistics
  • 65% of surveyed Wordle users play the game daily,
  • 43% of Wordle users guess the correct word within 3 tries,
  • The average number of guesses to discover the correct word is 4.71,
  • 72% of users have told their friends about Wordle,

What is the average win percentage in Wordle? ›

The odds of solving a Wordle level in one try is 0.02% on average and is completely down to chance. The odds of solving a Wordle level in two tries is 5.67% on average. The odds of solving a Wordle level in three tries is 22.66% on average. The odds of solving a Wordle level in four tries is 33.10% on average.

How many people play Wordle on an average day? ›

Put another way: Of the roughly 2 million daily Wordle players, about 860 people should be guessing the right word on their first try. If they avoid any previous daily words (and most don't) that might rise to 1,320.

What is an impressive Wordle score? ›

If you can consistently get Wordle in three guesses, you are pretty darn good. A score of three is solidly above average, and it is certainly nothing to frown at. Especially with harder words such as “cynic,” “vivid,” or “swill,” getting it in three is very good.

What is the most popular opening word in Wordle? ›

For human Wordle players, the most popular opening word by some margin is ADIEU. AUDIO, another four-vowel word, is the fourth-most popular.

Has anyone ever got Wordle on the first try? ›

Take a look on this subreddit, plenty of people post rounds where they got it in one try. It's actually a 1 in 150,000 something chance. We don't know all the words in the Wordle dictionary but there are well over 2400 5-letter words that a person would choose from, not just Wordle's 2400.

What percentage of people fail at Wordle? ›

Because very few people fail at a given Wordle (typically around 3%), I use the percent of people who use all six guesses, whether they win (6/6) or fail (X/6) as a proxy for a word's difficulty. This percentage varies quite a bit, suggesting that some answers are definitely harder than others.

What are the best first two words for Wordle? ›

For Normal mode, SLATE, SALET, ROATE and STARE are known to be some of the best alternative starting words for Wordle. For Hard mode, DEALT is believed to be the best Wordle starting word. However, COALS and NITER were found to be the best performing word pair combination for the opening two guesses.

What is the average age of people who play Wordle? ›

Wordle's age breakdown is pretty unique: Young people (under 35) are the most likely to play, but many of them didn't like the game. Meanwhile, middle-aged adults (35-54) were the most likely to intend to play Wordle, while very few older Americans (55+) said they didn't like the game once they tried it.

What is the best strategy for Wordle? ›

Wordle: The Best Strategy For The Game
  1. 1 Try Even If It Looks Wrong.
  2. 2 Words Rarely End In S. ...
  3. 3 Cross Out One Letter At A Time. ...
  4. 4 Find Go-To Words. ...
  5. 5 Skip The Correct Letters In The Second Guess. ...
  6. 6 Remember The Statistics. ...
  7. 7 Use Distinct Words For First 2 Guesses. ...
  8. 8 Eliminate Vowels First. ...
Jul 9, 2022

How many people still use Wordle? ›

Within two months of its public release in October 2021, the number of daily users shot from 90 to around 300,000. After the New York Times acquired Wordle from its creator, software engineer Josh Wardle, in January 2022, its player base grew to tens of millions. There's a lot of strategy behind the puzzle, as well.

How do you know if someone cheats at Wordle? ›

These were the signs:
  1. The player isn't careful to avoid opening up good positions for you. Most cheat apps simply find the highest scoring word without applying any strategy. ...
  2. They don't manage their letters well.
  3. They play several long words that I've never heard of.
Aug 22, 2022

Do all Wordle players get the same word each day? ›

This practices has raised questions about whether all players receive the same word. The short answer is yes. On a given day, players around the world have access to the same puzzle.

How often does someone get Wordle on first try? ›

Based on his findings, O'Connor has determined that approximately 1% of the players who post their results to Twitter are guessing the correct word on their first attempt, and somewhere between 3% and 9% guess correctly on the second try.

Does anyone still play Wordle? ›

After the New York Times acquired Wordle from its creator, software engineer Josh Wardle, in January 2022, its player base grew to tens of millions. There's a lot of strategy behind the puzzle, as well. From the words the Times picks to Wordle's place in the publication's business model, everything has its purpose.

How do you calculate average guesses in Wordle? ›

Looks to be a pretty simple equation:
  1. Multiply the number of "Tries" (i.e. 1,2,3,4,5,6) by the number of successful attempts per try (2 tries x 7 times I got the wordle in 2 tries)
  2. Add the totals across each try together, then divide by total number of games played.
Feb 21, 2022

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